Thursday, June 19, 2008

Good News is Bad News



Good News is Bad News

  • Initial jobless claims were better than expected - good news,
    right? We want people to have jobs. Don't be fooled by the increase in
    unemployment rate; that's mostly caused by a gigantic flood of
    high-school graduates into the job market, and not by people losing
    their jobs, as this morning's number proves.
  • Unfortunately for bonds, when employment increases, that raises
    pressure on the Fed to raise rates, and that is bad. Bad for us here,
    that is. So that's bad, right?
  • So far, not very bad. The 10-year note is losing back everything
    it got yesterday, but mortgage lenders pay more attention to the 5.5%
    and 6% FNMA bond, and those aren't off quite so far.
  • The big number is the Philly Fed coming out in about 20 minutes,
    and we'll be mostly flat until then. If it moves us significantly in
    one direction or another, we'll alert you on it.


We love referrals, so feel free to forward this to anyone you like, and
have them shoot me an email so I can get them on the list their own
selves.



And this weekend, Saturday 5pm to 7pm, is the Fourth Annual Chris Jones
Group BBQ. You're invited. It's at Olivia Votaw's at 565 East 300
North in Lehi, right next to the high school (north side). Please
come, eat our food, and enjoy. Really. Our treat.



Cj

www.thechrisjonesgroup.com




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